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IEA Slashes Oil Forecast As Demand Destruction Looms Over The Market

kaxln by kaxln
July 14, 2022
in Finance
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IEA Slashes Oil Forecast As Demand Destruction Looms Over The Market
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International oil demand is anticipated to rise by 1.7 million barrels per day (bpd) this yr in comparison with 2022, the Worldwide Vitality Company (IEA) stated on Wednesday, revising down by 100,000 bpd its demand development estimate on the again of excessive costs weighing on consumption.

“Larger costs and a deteriorating financial atmosphere have began to take their toll on oil demand, however sturdy energy technology use and a restoration in China are offering a partial offset,” the company stated in its closely-watched Oil Market Report (OMR) revealed at this time.

Complete world oil demand is anticipated to common 99.2 million bpd in 2022, up by 1.7 million bpd in comparison with 2021, the IEA stated in its July forecast.

In June, the company had anticipated annual development of 1.8 million bpd in oil demand for 2022. A month in the past, the IEA noticed 2023 demand rising additional by 2.2 million bpd to a document 101.6 million bpd. At present’s report downgrades the forecast by 100,000 bpd to an anticipated improve of two.1 million bpd subsequent yr.

Demand development is 2023 is ready to be pushed by a robust development development in growing economies, the company stated.

Nevertheless, the IEA warned that “Hardly ever has the outlook for oil markets been extra unsure.”

“For now, weaker-than-expected oil demand development in superior economies and resilient Russian provide has loosened headline balances,” in keeping with the company.

Excessive gasoline costs have already began to dent oil consumption within the OECD, however this was largely offset by a stronger-than-expected demand rebound in rising and growing economies led by China, the IEA stated.

Whereas oil market sentiment has materially deteriorated since June amid expectations of financial slowdown and fears of recession, “worth premiums for bodily barrels widened on rising seasonal demand for each crude and merchandise whereas provide stays constrained,” the company famous.

“As an EU embargo on Russian oil is ready to return into full power on the finish of the yr, the oil market might tighten as soon as once more. With available spare capability operating low in each the upstream and downstream, it might be as much as demand facet measures to carry down consumption and gasoline prices that pose a risk to stability, most notably in rising markets,” stated the IEA.

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com








International oil demand is anticipated to rise by 1.7 million barrels per day (bpd) this yr in comparison with 2022, the Worldwide Vitality Company (IEA) stated on Wednesday, revising down by 100,000 bpd its demand development estimate on the again of excessive costs weighing on consumption.

“Larger costs and a deteriorating financial atmosphere have began to take their toll on oil demand, however sturdy energy technology use and a restoration in China are offering a partial offset,” the company stated in its closely-watched Oil Market Report (OMR) revealed at this time.

Complete world oil demand is anticipated to common 99.2 million bpd in 2022, up by 1.7 million bpd in comparison with 2021, the IEA stated in its July forecast.

In June, the company had anticipated annual development of 1.8 million bpd in oil demand for 2022. A month in the past, the IEA noticed 2023 demand rising additional by 2.2 million bpd to a document 101.6 million bpd. At present’s report downgrades the forecast by 100,000 bpd to an anticipated improve of two.1 million bpd subsequent yr.

Demand development is 2023 is ready to be pushed by a robust development development in growing economies, the company stated.

Nevertheless, the IEA warned that “Hardly ever has the outlook for oil markets been extra unsure.”

“For now, weaker-than-expected oil demand development in superior economies and resilient Russian provide has loosened headline balances,” in keeping with the company.

Excessive gasoline costs have already began to dent oil consumption within the OECD, however this was largely offset by a stronger-than-expected demand rebound in rising and growing economies led by China, the IEA stated.

Whereas oil market sentiment has materially deteriorated since June amid expectations of financial slowdown and fears of recession, “worth premiums for bodily barrels widened on rising seasonal demand for each crude and merchandise whereas provide stays constrained,” the company famous.

“As an EU embargo on Russian oil is ready to return into full power on the finish of the yr, the oil market might tighten as soon as once more. With available spare capability operating low in each the upstream and downstream, it might be as much as demand facet measures to carry down consumption and gasoline prices that pose a risk to stability, most notably in rising markets,” stated the IEA.

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

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